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Improving the odds of trading success: A conversation with Dr. Brett Steenbarger and Mike Bellafiore
3 days ago by smbcapital @ SMB Capital

In this podcast from Caylum Trading Institute, Mike Bellafiore and Dr. Brett Steenbarger discuss improving the odds of trading success. You don’t want to miss it!The post Improving the odds of trading success: A conversation with Dr. Brett Steenbarger and Mike Bellafiore appeared first on SMB Training Blog.

Video of the 2018 Trade-Ideas Summit
22 days ago by

USE THE TIMECODE LINKS BELOW TO JUMP TO A SEGMENT 43:24 – Dan Mirkin - Innovation Pipeline 49:00 - Don Hensley - Speedtrader 52:00 – David Aferiat - State of the Company 1:00:55 – Dr. Brett Steenbarger - Boosting Your Cognitive Development 2:19:30 – Brian Shannon - Do you VWAP? 4:14:47 – Dan Mirkin - Trade Ideas IPO 4:19:03 – JC Parets - All Star Charts 5:04:55 – Kunal Desai - Bulls on Wall Street 5:51:35 – Trade Ideas Podcast Live – Dan Mirkin & Max Madaz 6:52:15 – Dr. Brett Steenbarger - Group Mentorship Session 7:44:14 – Panel: Industry Market Outlook for 2019 8:19:21 – Panel: Active Trader Outlook for 2019

The stock market crashed (again). What’s next
23 days ago by Troy @ BullMarkets.co

In yesterday’s “Is the stock market’s bottom in“, I wrote The stock market’s medium term is decisively bullish, while the short term is a 50-50 bet. Focus on risk reward […]The post The stock market crashed (again). What’s next appeared first on Bull Markets.

The Second Derivative Is Here for the Stock Market (New Oversold Extremes)
23 days ago by Dr. Duru @ Dr. Duru

AT40 = 11.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 6th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.6%) AT200 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (as low as 26.7%) VIX = 25.2 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Time to take a ... Read more

Stock Prices Falling Is Perfectly Normal
23 days ago by JC @ All Star Charts

When the stock market is not going up, the blame game gets played. It’s a combination of shareholders losing money and media types needing something to say. It’s always someone or something’s fault and rarely described as a normal occurrence. The truth, however, is that yes, stocks falling in price is part of the regular […]The post Stock Prices Falling Is Perfectly Normal appeared first on All Star Charts.

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Phoenix Real Estate in October: Sales down 1% YoY, Active Inventory down 5% YoY
about 2 hours ago by Bill McBride @ Calculated Risk

This is a key housing market to follow since Phoenix saw a large bubble / bust followed by strong investor buying.The Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) reports ("Stats Report"):1) Overall sales declined to 7,182 from 7,268 in October 2017. Sales were up 4.1% from September, and down -1.2% from October 2017.2) Active inventory was at 18,193, down from 19,190 in October 2017.   This is down 5.2% year-over-year.  This is the smallest YoY decrease in almost two years.  In many cities, inventory is increasing YoY, but not yet in Phoenix.This is the twenty-fourth consecutive month with a YoY decrease in inventory in Phoenix.Months of supply increased from 2.93 in September to 3.03 in October. This is still low.

3Q Corporate Results Were Great. The Outlook for 2019 Looks Far Too Optimistic
about 3 hours ago by Urban Carmel @ Fat Pitch

Summary: Overall, corporate results in the third quarter were excellent. S&P sales grew 11%, earnings rose 30% and profit margins expanded to a new all-time high of 12.2%.Fundamentals have been driving the stock market higher, not valuations: earnings during the past 1 year and 2 years have risen faster than the S&P index itself (meaning, valuations contracted). The strong growth in company profits is not due to a net share reduction (e.g., buybacks) either.Looking ahead, expectations for 10% earnings growth in 2019 looks far too optimistic and will likely be revised downward as the substantial jump in margins this year is unlikely to continue. Even maintaining these margins will be a stretch, and earnings are at risk of falling. Dollar appreciation and declining oil prices are additional headwinds.Valuations are now slightly below their 25-year average. They are not cheap, but the excess from early 2018 has been worked off. If inves...

Market outlook: why the economy is bullish for stocks going into 2019
about 4 hours ago by Troy @ BullMarkets.co

As we expected in last week’s market outlook, the U.S. stock market has pulled back after a hard bounce. The S&P 500 has now retraced more than 61.8% of its […] The post Market outlook: why the economy is bullish for stocks going into 2019 appeared first on Bull Markets.

Should You Check In To This 8.50% Hospitality REIT Preferred?
about 4 hours ago by SA Editor's Picks

64 Powerful Pieces of Trading Wisdom
about 5 hours ago by Steve Burns @ New Trader U

This is a guest post from Tino @tradersreality. This article originally appeared on tradersreality.com and is reposted here by request. Traders Reality Wisdom Knowledge only becomes wisdom if it is transferred and applied. I have compiled 64 of the best tweets that focus on the psychology of trading. This is beneficial for those who would […]

MWL: What’s Hot, What’s Not - Sentiment Update
about 6 hours ago by StockCharts @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

Mary Ellen McGonagle presented her Friday segment, What’s Hot, What’s Not. She discussed which industries and stocks were bullish and bearish for the week. Erin’s Sentiment Update let everyone know not only how market participants were “feeling” about the market, but also where they are putting their money. Do the polls and money flows match? Watch now!

Puma Biotechnology: Risky Investment
about 6 hours ago by SA Editor's Picks

Top 10 Wealth Management Brands in Digital
about 6 hours ago by Alizah Farooqi @ Gartner L2

The top ten brands in Gartner L2's first Digital IQ Index: Wealth Management deploy high-tech, high-touch offerings in light of the fast-evolving financial field.

Power Charting: Market. Natural Gas. Oil. Apple (11.16.18)
about 6 hours ago by StockCharts @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

Instruments covered: $SPX, UNG, $WTIC, USO and AAPL. Power Charting program is conducted by Bruce Fraser and Roman Bogomazov and is devoted to Wyckoff Method analysis.

Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
about 6 hours ago by Bill McBride @ Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in OctoberBased on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports from across the country released through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.31 million in October, up 3.1% from October’s preliminary estimate, and down 3.5% from last October’s seasonally adjusted pace. Unadjusted sales should show a smaller YOY decline, reflecting the higher business day count this October compared to last October.On the inventory front, local realtor/MLS data, as well as data from other inventory trackers, suggest that the inventory of existing homes for sale in October was down slightly from September, and I project that the NAR’s estimate of the inventory of existing homes for sales at the end of October will be 1.85 million, down 1.6% from September and up 2.8% from a year ago.Final...

Apple Stock May Not Just Be Getting Cheaper
about 7 hours ago by SA Most Popular

Synthorx Files For $100 Million U.S. IPO
about 7 hours ago by SA IPO Analysis

Friday links: carrying capacity
about 8 hours ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

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Carl Icahn Gets a Win Against Dell
about 9 hours ago by Matt Levine @ Bloomberg View

Also scrip dividends and Goldman partners.

Nvidia: I'm Surprised That You're Surprised
about 10 hours ago by SA Most Popular

Oil Bears - Can They Have Their Cake And Eat It Too?
about 10 hours ago by SA Editor's Picks

NY Fed Q3 Report: "Total Household Debt Rises for 17th Straight Quarter"
about 10 hours ago by Bill McBride @ Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Total Household Debt Rises for 17th Straight QuarterThe Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, which shows that total household debt increased by $219 billion (1.6%) to $13.51 trillion in the third quarter of 2018. It was the 17th consecutive quarter with an increase and the total is now $837 billion higher than the previous peak of $12.68 trillion in the third quarter of 2008. Furthermore, overall household debt is now 21.2% above the post-financial-crisis trough reached during the second quarter of 2013. The Report is based on data from the New York Fed’s Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample of individual- and household-level debt and credit records drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data....Mortgage originations increased to $445 billion...

Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Growth Edged Higher" in November
about 11 hours ago by Bill McBride @ Calculated Risk

From the Kansas City Fed: Growth in Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Edged Higherhe Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the November Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, the survey revealed that growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity edged higher, while expectations for future activity moderated slightly.“Firms reported a pickup in orders, production, and shipments in November, following some slowing in recent months” said Wilkerson. ...The month-over-month composite index was 15 in November, up from 8 in October and 13 in September. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. The increase in factory growth was driven by both durable and nondurable goods p...

This 10.7% Yielder May Never Be This Cheap Again
about 11 hours ago by SA Most Popular

DiaMedica Therapeutics Aims For $15 Million IPO
about 11 hours ago by SA IPO Analysis